Professor Danny Pfeffermann

* Professor of Statistics at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, UK.

* President of  the Israel Statistical Association

Department of Statistics
The Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Mount Scopus Campus

Har Hatsofim
Jerusalem, 91905
Israel

Email: msdanny@huji.ac.il, or msdanny@soton.ac.uk


url: http://pluto.huji.ac.il/~msdanny

Rm. 4405

phone: +972 2 588-3310
fax:      +972 2 588-3549

 

                    Students (PhD)

  • Vicky Landsman (Hebrew University)
  • Anna Sikov (Hebrew University)
  • Solange Correia (University of Southampton)
  • David Clifford (University of Southampton)
  • Leonardo Turly (University of Southampton)

  

                      Publications

            Articles in Refereed Journals and Books:

1. Pfeffermann, D. and Nathan, G. (1981). Regression Analysis of Data from a Cluster Sample. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 76, 681-689.

2. Royall, R.M. and Pfeffermann, D. (1982). Balanced Samples and Robust Bayesian Inference in Finite Population Sampling. Biometrika, 69, 401-409.

3. Pfeffermann, D. and Fisher, J. (1982). Festival and Working Days Prior Adjustments in Economic Time Series. International Statistical Review, 50, 1-12.

4. Pfeffermann, D. (1983). On the Relative Efficiency of Four Ratio-type Estimators in Cluster Sampling. Sankhya, Series B, 45, 376-388.

5. Pfeffermann, D. (1984). Note on Large Sample Properties of Balanced Samples. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B., 46, 38-41.

6. Pfeffermann, D. (1984). On Extensions of the Gauss-Markov Theorem to the Case of Stochastic Regression Coefficients. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 46, 139-148.

7. Morris, N. and Pfeffermann, D. (1985). A Kalman Filter Approach to the Forecasting of Monthly Time series Affected by Moving Festivals. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 5, 225-268.

8. Pfeffermann, D. and Ben-Tuvia, S. (1985). A Statistical Method for Assigning Priorities to Road Sections for Resurfacing. Technometrics, 27, 75-79.

9. Pfeffermann, D. and Smith, T.M.F. (1985). Regression Models for Grouped Populations in Cross Sectional Surveys. International Statistical Review, 53, 37-59.

10. Pfeffermann, D. and Holmes, D. (1985). Robustness Considerations in the Choice of a Method of Inference for Regression Analysis of Survey Data. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 198, 268-278.

11. Pfeffermann, D. and Nathan, G. (1985). Problems in Model Identification Based on Data from Complex Sample Surveys. Invited paper for the 45th meetings of the International Statistical Institute. Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, Vol. 51, pp. 12.2.1-12.2.17.

12. Pfeffermann, D. and Lavange, L. (1986). The Analysis of Survey Data using Stochastic Regression Coefficients with Application to NHANES Data. Proceedings of the Section on Survey Research Me, American Statistical Association, pp. 264-269.

13. Pfeffermann, D. (1986). Invited discussion of paper by M. A. Hidiroglou and C. E. Sarndal, "Conditional Inference for Small Area Estimation. Proceedings of the Section on Survey Research Methods, American Statistical Association, pp. 157-158.

14. Pfeffermann, D. (1988). The Effect of Sampling Design and Response Mechanism on Multivariate Regression Based Predictors. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83, 824-834.

15. Landau, S. and Pfeffermann, D. (1988). A Time Series Analysis of Violent Crime and its Relation to Prolonged States of Warfare: The Israeli Case. Criminology, 26, 489-504.

16. Pfeffermann, D. and Allon, J. (1989). Multivariate Exponential Smoothing: Method and Practice. International Journal of Forecasting, 5, 83-98.

17. Pfeffermann, D. and Lavange, L. (1989). Regression Models for Stratified Multistage Cluster Samples. In Analysis of Complex Surveys, Chapter 12, C.J. Skinner, D. Holt, and T.M.F. Smith (eds.), Chichester: Wiley, pp. 237-260.

18. Pfeffermann, D., Burck, L. and Ben-Tuvia, S. (1989). A Time Series Model for Estimating Housing Price Indexes Adjusted for Changes in Quality. Invited Paper. Proceedings of the International Symposium on "Analysis of Data in Time", Ottawa, Canada, pp. 43-55.

19. Barnard, C.H. and Pfeffermann, D. (1990). Combining Survey and Other Data to Estimate Agricultural Land Values. The Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 42, 39-51.

20. Pfeffermann, D. and Burck, L. (1990). Robust Small Area Estimation Combining Time Series and Cross- Sectional Data. Survey Methodology, 16, 217-237.

21. Pfeffermann, D. and Barnard, C.H. (1991). Some New Estimators for Small Area Means with Application to the Assessment of Farmland Values, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 9, 73-83.

22. Pfeffermann, D. (1991). Estimation and Seasonal Adjustment of Population Means Using Data from Repeated Surveys (with discussion). Journal of Business & Economics Statistics, 9, 163-177.

23. Pfeffermann, D. and Krieger, A.M. (1991). Post-stratification Using Regression Estimators when Information on Strata Means and Sizes is Missing. Biometrika, 78, 409-419.

24. Krieger, A.M. and Pfeffermann, D. (1992). Maximum Likelihood Estimation from Complex Sample Surveys. Survey Methodology, 18, 225-239.

25. Pfeffermann, D. (1993). The Role of Sampling Weights When Modeling Survey Data. International Statistical Review, 61, 317-337.

26. Pfeffermann, D. (1993). A General Method for Estimating the Variances of X-11 Seasonally Adjusted Estimators. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 15, 85-116.

27. Pfeffermann, D., and Bleuer, S.R. (1993). Robust Joint Modelling of Canadian Labor Force Series of Small Areas. Survey Methodology, 19, 149-163.

28. Pfeffermann, D., Liu, Tzen-Ping. and Ben-Zur, F. (1994). Probabilistic Detection of Turning Points in Monthly Business Activity. In Business Survey Methods, Chapter 29, B.G. Cox, D.A. Binder, B.N. Chinnappa, M.J. Colledge, A. Christianson, and P.S. Kott (eds.), New Work: Wiley. pp. 567-588.

29. Pfeffermann, D., Morry, M. and Wong, P. (1995). Estimation of the Variances of X-11 ARIMA Seasonally Adjusted Estimators for a Multiplicative Decomposition and Heteroscedastic Variances. International Journal of Forecasting, 11, 271-283.

30. Pfeffermann, D. (1996). The Use of Sampling Weights for Survey Data Analysis. Statistical Methods in Medical Research., 5, 239-261.

31. Pfeffermann, D., Bell, P., and Signorelli, D. (1996). Labour Force Trend Estimation in Small areas. Proceedings of the Annual Research Conference and Technology, Bureau of the Census, pp. 407- 431. (Discussion by D. Tiller, pp.455-459.)

32. Pfeffermann, D. (1997). Invited Discussion of paper by D. Steel, "Producing Monthly Estimates of Unemployment and Employment According to the International Labour Office Definition. Royal Statistical Society, Series A, p. 43

33. Krieger, A.M. and Pfeffermann, D. (1997). Testing of Distribution Functions from Complex Sample Surveys. Journal of Official Statistics, 13, 123-142.

34. Pfeffermann, D., Skinner, C. and Humphreys, K. (1998). The Estimation of Gross Flows in the Presence of Measurement Error using Auxiliary Variables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 161, 13-31.

35. Pfeffermann, D., Skinner, C., Goldstein., Holmes, D., and Rasbash, J. (1998). Weighting for Unequal Selection Probabilities in Multilevel Models (with discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 60, 23-56. (*) Read Before the Royal Statistical Society

36. Singh, A.C., Stukel, D., and Pfeffermann, D. (1998). Bayesian Versus Frequentist Measures of Error in Small Area Estimation. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 60, 377-396.

37. Pfeffermann, D., Feder, M., and Signorelli, D. (1998). Estimation of Auto- correlations of Survey Errors with Application to Trend Estimation in Small Areas. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 16, 339-348.

38. Pfeffermann, D., Krieger, A.M., and Rinott, Y. (1998). Parametric Distributions of Complex Survey Data Under Informative Probability Sampling. Statistica Sinica, 8, 1087-1114.

39. Pfeffermann, D. and Sverchkov, M. (1999). Parametric and Semi-Parametric Estimation of Regression Models Fitted to Survey Data. Sankhya, series B, 61, 166-186.

40. Feder, M. Nathan, G. and Pfeffermann, D. (2000). Multilevel Modelling of Complex Survey Longitudinal Data with Time Varying Random Effects. Survey Methodology, 26, 53-65.

41. Pfeffermann, D. (2000). Summing Up Remarks of conference on Small Area Estimation, Riga, 1999. Statistics in Transition, 4, 799-801.

42. Pfeffermann, D. (2000). Discussion of paper by A. Harvey and C.H Chung; Estimating the Underlying Change in Unemployment in the UK. Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 163, 330.

43. Pfeffermann, D. and Nathan, G. (2001). Imputation for wave nonresponse: existing methods and a times series approach. In Survey Nonresponse, Chapter 28, R.M. Groves, D. Dillman, J.L. Eltinge, and R.J.A. Little (eds.), New York: Wiley, 417-429.

44. Pfeffermann, D. (2002). Small Area Estimation- New Developments and Directions. International Statistical Review, 70, 125-143.

45. Pfeffermann, D. and Sverchkov, M. (2003). Fitting Generalized Linear Models Under informative Sampling. In, Analysis of survey Data, Eds. C. Skinner and R. Chambers, New York: Wiley, 175-195.

 

46. Sverchkov, M. and Pfeffermann, D. (2004). Prediction of finite Population Totals Based on the Sample Distribution. Survey Methodology, 30, 79-92.

47. Pfeffermann, D., and Tiller, R. (2005). Bootstrap Approximation to Prediction MSE for State-Space Models with Estimated Parameters. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 26, 893-216.

48. Moura, F., Clarke, P., and Pfeffermann, D. (2005). Small Area Estimation under Varying Area Boundaries, Using the Synthetic Estimator. Statistics in Transition, 7, 625-636.

 

49. Pfeffermann, D., and Sverchkov, M. (2005). Small Area Estimation under Informative Sampling. Statistics in Transition, 7, 675-684.

 

50. Pfeffermann, D. (2005). Invited discussion of paper by J. Jiang and P. Lahiri; Mixed Model Prediction and Small Area Estimation. TEST, 15, (to appear).

51. Pfeffermann, D. and Tiller, R. (2006). State-Space Modelling with Correlated Measurement Errors with Application to Small Area Estimation under Benchmark Constraints. Journal of the American Statistical Association, (to appear).

52. Pfeffermann, D., Fernando, M. and Silva, P. (2006). Multi-Level Modelling Under Informative Probability Sampling. Biometrika (to appear).

Under Review

53. Pfeffermann, D., and Sverchkov, M. (2006). Small Area Estimation Under Informative Sampling of Areas and Within the Areas. (Under revision for the Journal of the American Statistical Association)

Invited Presentations at Statistical Meetings

1. Regression Analysis of Data from Complex Samples. Third annual meeting of the International Association of Survey Statisticians, New Delhi, 1977.

2. Problems in Model Identification Based on Data from Complex Sample Surveys. 45th session of the International Statistical Institute, Amsterdam, 1985.

3. Discussion of paper by M.A. Hidiroglou and C.E. Sarndal, Conditional Inference for Small Area Estimation. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Chicago, 1986.

4. Regression Models for Stratified Multistage Cluster Samples. Special meeting on "Analytic Inference from Survey Data", Southampton, 1986.

5. Estimation and Seasonal Adjustment of Population Means Using Data from Repeated Surveys. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Washington DC, 1989.

6. A Statistical Model for Estimating Housing Price Indexes Adjusted for Quality Changes. International symposium on "Analysis of Data in Time", Ottawa, 1989.

7. Estimation of Variances of SeaAdjusted Data Using a Model Free Approach. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Anaheim, CA, 1990.

8. Alternative Approaches for Incorporating the Sampling Weights when Modelling Survey Data. International symposium on "Recent Concepts in Statistical Inference" in honor of V.P. Godambe. Waterloo,1991.

9. Robust Modelling of Canadian Labor Force Series of Small Areas. International symposium on "Statistical Issues in Public Policy Analysis". Ottawa,1992.

10. Probabilistic Detection of Turning Points in Monthly Business Activity. International conference on "Establishment Surveys", Buffalo, NY 1993.

11. The Use of Weighted Distributions for Analytic Inference from Informative Sample Surveys. Special topic session on "Selection Bias", 49th session of the International Statistical Institute , Florence, 1993.

12. Discussion of papers in session on "Weighting; Skew Populations and Outliers; Theory and Application". 49th session of the International Statistical Institute, Florence, 1993.

13. Estimation of Gross Flows in the Presence of Measurement Error from Informative samples with Missing Data. Workshop on "Statistical Analysis with Missing Data", Southampton, 1994.

14. Labour Force Trend Estimation in Small Areas. Annual research conference, Bureau of the Census, Washington DC, 1996.

15. Weighting for Unequal Selection Probabilities in Multilevel Models. Read before the Royal Statistical Society at a meeting on 'Design and analysis of complex sample surveys', London, 1997

16. Variance Measures for X-11 Seasonally Adjusted Estimators: Some New Developments with Application to Labor Force Series. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Anaheim, CA, 1997.

17. Parametric Distribution of Complex Survey Data Under Informative Sampling. Conference on "Current Topics in Survey Sampling", Lincoln, NA, 1997.

18. Recent Advances in Statistical Modelling of Complex Survey Data. International conference on "Recent Advances in Statistics and Probability", Organized by The Indian Statistical Institute and the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability, Calcutta, 1997.

19. Estimation of Gross Flows from Complex Surveys with Adjustments for Missing Data and Misclassification Errors. International symposium on" Longitudinal Analysis from Complex Surveys", Ottawa, 1998.

20. Analysis of Complex Survey Longitudinal Data. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Dallas, TX, 1998.

21. Relationships between Sampling Designs and Survey Error Models with Application to Variance Estimation of Seasonally Adjusted and Trend Components. International seminar on "Seasonal Adjustment Methods", Bucharest, 1998.

22. Methods for Small Area Estimation. German Statistical Association workshop on "Census 2001", Trier, Germany, 1999.

23. Discussion of papers in session on "Design of Surveys for Measuring Change Over Time", 52nd session of the International Statistical Institute, Helsinki, Finland, 1999.

24. New Developments in Estimation of Small Area Statistics. Scientific conference on "Small Area Estimation", Riga, 1999. Keynote address.

25. Fitting Generalized Linear Models under Informative Sampling. International conference on "Analysis of Survey Data", Southampton, 1999.

26. Bootstrap Approximation to Prediction MSE for State-Space Models with Estimated Parameters. 5th. International conference on Bayesian Statistics, Campinas, Brazil, 1999.

27. Imputation for Wave Non-response: Existing Methods and a Time Series Approach. International conference on "Survey Nonresponse", Portland, 1999.

28. Discussion of paper by A. Harvey and C.H. Chung. Estimating the Underlying Change in Unemployment in the UK. Royal Statistical Society meeting, 2000.

29. Comparison of Alternative Variance Measures for Seasonally Adjusted and Trend series. Second international conference on "Establishment Surveys", Buffalo, NY, 2000.

30. Prediction of Finite Population Totals under Informative Sampling Utilizing the Sample Distribution. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Indianapolis, IA,   2000.

31. Analytic Inference from Complex Survey Data. Fifth International Conference on "Social Science Methodology", Cologne, 2000.

32. Analytic inference from complex sample surveys with application to multi-level modelling. Conference in honor of Wayne Fuller, Ames, Iowa, 2001.

33. Small area estimation- basic concepts and new developments. International seminar on "methods for household sample surveys", Rio de Janeiro, Brasil, 2001.

34. Multi-level modelling under informative probability sampling, 53rd session of the International Statistical Institute, Seoul, Korea, 2001.

35. Modeling of Complex Survey Data Under Informative Sampling (four presentations). First Baltic-Nordic Conference on Survey Sampling, Ammarnäs, Sweden, 2002.

 

36. Mean Square Error Evaluation in Small Area Estimation using Parametric Bootstrap. International conference on Recent Developments in Survey Sampling. In honor of  

J.N.K. Rao. Ottawa, Canada, 2002.

 

            37. State-Space Modeling With Correlated Measurement Errors with Application to Small Area Estimation Under Benchmark Constraints. Academy Colloquium on  

            state space and unobserved components models in honor of J. Durbin. Amsterdam, 2002. 

38. Small Area Estimation under Informative Sampling. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, San Francisco, CA, 2003.

39. Tutorial on Statistical Analysis From complex survey data. 54th session of the International Statistical Institute, Berlin, 2003 (Jointly with W. Fuller)

 

40. Longitudinal analysis from complex survey Data. Annual meeting of the Statistical Society of Canada, Montreal, 2004.

 

41. MSE estimation in Small Area Estimation using Nonparametric Bootstrap. Annual meetings of the American Statistical Association, Toronto, Canada, 2004.

 

42. Small Area Estimation with State Space Models Subject to Benchmark Constraints. 55th session of the International Statistical Institute, Sydney, Australia, 2005.

 

43. Small Area Estimation of Literacy in Developing Countries with application to Cambodia. Satellite Meeting on Measuring Small and Indigenous Populations

Wellington, New Zealand, 2005. Keynote address.

44. Estimation of Treatment Effects in Observational Studies by Use of  Survey Sampling Inference Methods. International conference on Complex sampling, Retrospective sampling and Missing Data. In honor of Alastair Scott. Auckland, New Zealand, 2005.

 

45. Small Area Estimation under Benchmarking Constraints. International conference on Statistics Production for Domains and Small Areas. Jyväskylä,  Finland, 2005. Keynote Address

 

46. Small Area Estimation under Informative Probability Sampling. International conference on Statistics Production for Domains and Small Areas. Jyväskylä,  Finland, 2005. Keynote Address.

 

47. Small Area Estimation, Some Personal Perspectives. 6th Survey Research Conference of Academia Sinica, Taiwan (2006).

Editorial Collaboration

·        Associate Editor, Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 1998 -2000

·        Associate Editor, Survey Methodology, 1991 - present

·        Associate Editor, Biometrika, 2001 – present

  

                      Education

·        B.A., The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel, 1967

·        Teacher's Certificate (with distinction), Hebrew University, Israel, 1968

·        M.A., The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel, 1973

·        PhD., The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel, 1978

  

                    Employment

  Current

  Professor, Department of Statistics, Hebrew University, Jerusalem

Current

Professor, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton, Southampton