SATELLITE MEETING ON LONGITUDINAL STUDIES
SATELLITE MEETING ON LONGITUDINAL STUDIES
The satellite meeting on Longitudinal Studies has been successfully completed. It followed the The 51st Session of the International Statistical Institute in Istanbul, August 18-26, 1997. It was intended to cover aspects of both the design and analysis of sample surveys (prospective or retrospective), in which the same units are investigated with respect to several points of time, or over periods of time. This includes fixed or rotating panel surveys and longitudinal studies based on administrative data or on censuses. Although the term Longitudinal Studies is to be regarded in a general sense, papers were limited to studies with a predominant ly statistical component. The major focus was on sample surveys with a longitudinal component, such as panel surveys, and the special problems posed by the longitudinal nature of the survey.
SPECIAL SECTION OF "SURVEY METHODOLOGY"
There are no plans for the publication of proceedings of the satellite meeting, but authors were encouraged to submit their papers to the journal of their choice, following the presentation at the meeting. M. P. Singh, editor of Survey Methodology, kindly agreed to devote a special section of the December 1998 issue of this journal to outstanding papers presented at the meeting. The issue (Volume 24, No. 2) includes the following papers:
LONGITUDINAL SURVEYS: WHY ARE THESE SURVEYS DIFFERENT FROM ALL OTHER SURVEYS?
David A. Binder, Statistics Canada
DATA AND MODELING STRATEGIES IN ESTIMATING GROSS LABOR FLOWS AFFECTED BY CLASSIFICATION ERRORS
F. Bassi, N. Torelli, U. Trivellato, Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche, Universita di Padova, Italy
ESTIMATING INDIVIDUAL LEVEL LABOUR FORCE GROSS FLOWS FROM HOUSEHOLD BASED SURVEYS WITH INFORMATIVE NONRESPONSE
P. S. Clarke, R.L.Chambers, Department of Social Statistics, University of Southampton, UK
LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS OF THE SWISS LABOR FORCE SURVEY DATA
P.-A Salamin, Swiss Federal Statistical Office, Centre for Co-Ordination and Planification, Switzerland
PRICE INDEX SURVEYS AS QUASI-LONGITUDINAL STUDIES
A. H. Dorfman, Office of Survey Methods Research, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA
LONGITUDINAL WEIGHTING FOR THE NATIONAL POPULATION HEALTH SURVEY
J.L. Tambay, I. Schiopu-Kratina, S. Nadon, J. Mayda, D. Stukel, Statistics Canada
August 27-31, 1997
Radison-Moriah-Plaza Hotel, Jerusalem, Israel
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IASS/IAOS Satellite Meeting on Longitudinal Studies
Jerusalem, August 27-31, 1997
SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMME
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THURSDAY, AUGUST 28, 1997
09:00-10:00 OPENING AND KEYNOTE ADDRESS:
Chair: Moshe Sicron, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
GREETINGS: Joseph A. Yahav, Government Statistician, Israel
Camil Fuchs, Israel Statistical Association
LONGITUDINAL SURVEYS: WHY ARE THESE SURVEYS DIFFERENT FROM ALL OTHER SURVEYS?
David A. Binder, Statistics Canada
10:00-11:00 SESSION 1.1: DESIGN ISSUES RELATING TO THE PLANNING OF LONGITUDINAL SURVEYS
Chair: Danny Pfeffermann, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
THE ONS LONGITUDINAL STUDY. ISSUES OF DESIGN, VALIDATION AND QUALITY IN A NATIONAL LONGITUDINAL STUDY
Lin Hattersley, Office for National Statistics, UK
THE BRITISH BIRTH COHORT STUDIES: DESIGN PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS
John Bynner, Social Statistics Research Unit, City University, UK
11:00-11:30 COFFEE BREAK
11:30:-13:00 SESSION 1.2: DESIGN ISSUES RELATING TO THE ANALYSIS OF LONGITUDINAL RETROSPECTIVE STUDIES AND USE OF ADMINISTRATIVE DATA
Chair: Yoel Finkel, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
A LONGITUDINAL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY TO EVALUATE GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS: DESIGN FEATURES OF THE AUSTRALIAN SURVEY OF EMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT PATTERNS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR ESTIMATION AND ANALYSIS.
M. Butler, P. Boal, F. Yu, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia
PRICE INDEX SURVEYS AS QUASI-LONGITUDINAL STUDIES
A. H. Dorfman, Office of Survey Methods Research, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA
LONGITUDINAL DATA SYSTEMS AT THE NATIONAL CENTER FOR HEALTH STATISTICS
J. Madans, National Center for Health Statistics, USA
13:00-14:00 LUNCH
13:00-14:00 POSTER SESSION I
IMPUTATION IN PANEL DATA FROM A FINITE POPULATION
Lucia P. Barroso, Wilton O. Bussab and Martin Knott,Universidade de Sao Paulo, Fundaccao Getulio Vargas, Brazil, London School of Economics, UK
THE SCOPE FOR INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH: A CASE STUDY ON THE ENGLAND AND WALES ONS LONGITUDINAL STUDY (LS)
Rosemary Creeser, Social Statistics Research Unit, City University, London, UK
14:00-15:30 SESSION 1.3: CROSS-SECTIONAL AND LONGITUDINAL STUDIES: CORRESPONDENCE ACROSS STUDIES AND WEIGHTING
Chair: David A. Binder, Statistics Canada
LONGITUDINAL WEIGHTING FOR THE NATIONAL POPULATION HEALTH SURVEY
J.L. Tambay, I. Schiopu-Kratina, S. Nadon, J. Mayda, D. Stukel, Statistics Canada
UTILIZING LONGITUDINALLY LINKED DATA FROM THE BRITISH LABOUR FORCE SURVEY
P.F. Tate, Office for National Statistics, UK
TWO POSTAL PANEL SURVEYS IN BRITAIN: SOME METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS
Peter Lynn, Survey Methods Centre at SCPR, London, UK
15:30-16:00 COFFEE BREAK
16:00-17:30 SESSION 1.4: METHODS FOR TREATING NON-RESPONSE, MISSING DATA ANDATTRITION IN LONGITUDINAL SURVEYS
Chair: Michael A. Hidiroglou, Statistics Canada
SOME ISSUES IN THE ESTIMATION OF INCOME DYNAMICS
S.R. Bleuer, M.S. Kovacevic, Statistics Canada
IMPUTATION FOR MISSING DATA IN A PANEL STUDY
N. Buck, ESRC Research Centre on Micro-Social Change, University of Essex, UK
IMPACT OF DIFFERENT WEIGHTING SCHEMES IN THE MEASUREMENT OF FLOWS IN A LONGITUDINAL SURVEY
S. Michaud, M. Latouche, Statistics Canada
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FRIDAY, AUGUST 29, 1997
08:30-10:00 SESSION 1.5: ESTIMATION OF GROSS FLOWS WITH ADJUSTMENTS FOR
CLASSIFICATION ERRORS
Chair: T.M.F. Smith, University of Southampton, UK
ESTIMATING INDIVIDUAL LEVEL LABOUR FORCE GROSS FLOWS FROM HOUSEHOLD BASED SURVEYS WITH INFORMATIVE NONRESPONSE
P. S. Clarke, R.L.Chambers, Department of Social Statistics, University of Southampton, UK
DATA AND MODELING STRATEGIES IN ESTIMATING GROSS LABOR FLOWS AFFECTED BY CLASSIFICATION ERRORS
F. Bassi, N. Torelli, U. Trivellato, Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche, Universita di Padova, Italy
DOMAIN CHANGE IN PANEL SURVEYS: A MODEL BASED STRATEGY TO ESTIMATE NET CHANGES IN UNCERTAINTY CONDITIONS
R. Gismondo, ISTAT, Roma, Italy
10:00-10:30 COFFEE BREAK
10:30-12:00 SESSION 1.6: ANALYSIS OF LONGITUDINAL DATA BY STOCHASTIC MODELS
Chair: Albert Madansky, University of Chicago, USA
MARKOV CHAIN ANALYSIS IN MARKETING RESEARCH
L. R. Frankel, USA
MODELLING COMPOSITIONAL TIME SERIES FROM REPEATED SURVEYS
D.B.N. Silva, T.M.F. Smith, University of Southampton, UK
12:00-13:00 LUNCH
12:00-13:00 POSTER SESSION II
THE IMPUTATION OF MISSING DATA IN PANEL SURVEY. THE CASE OF HOUSEHOLD INCOMES PRODUCED BY THE BANK OF ITALY
Claudio Quintano, Rosalia Castellano and Antonio Angelo Romano, Istituto di Statistica, Matematica e Lingue, Istituto Universitario Navale, Napoli, Italy
PERSON-BASED FOLLOW-UP OF CANCER CASES: AN EXAMPLE OF LINKAGE USING FUZZY MATCHING
Mike Quinn and John Charlton, Office for National Statistics, London, UK
13:00-14:30 SESSION 1.7: REGRESSION AND MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF LONGITUDINAL DATA
Chair: Yoel Haitovsky, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF MULTIVARIATE PANEL DATA
K. Van Montfort, C. Bijleveld, Free University, Department of Econometrics, Amsterdam, Netherlands
A REGRESSION MODEL FOR A MULTIVARIATE CATEGORICAL RESPONSE: A CASE STUDY
M. Attanasio, V. Capursi, G. Lovison, Faculty of Economics, University of Palermo, Italy
CORRECTION OF REGRESSION DILUTION BIAS UNRAVELS TRUE ASSOCIATIONS BETWEEN LIPOPROTEINS AND CORONARY HEART DISEASE
U. Goldbourt, S. Yaari, Sheba Medical Center and Bar-Ilan University, Israel
14:30-14:45 COFFEE BREAK
14:45-16:15 SESSION 1.8: NON-STANDARD MODELS FOR THE ANALYSIS OF LONGITUDINAL DATA
Chair: Ayala Cohen, Technion, Israel
PERIODIC SURVEYS: HOW TO DETERMINE THE OPTIMAL PERIOD
Dhiren Ghosh and Wray Smith, Synectics for Management Decisions, Inc, USA
AN EVENT HISTORY MODEL FOR CONSUMER PURCHASING
A. Hoogendoorn, D. Sikkel, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands
ESTIMATING SUCCESS PROBABILITIES FROM BINOMIAL DATA SUBJECT TO MISCLASSIFICATION ERRORS WITH REPEATED OBSERVATIONS
Y. Haitovsky, Dept of Economics and Statistics, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
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SUNDAY, AUGUST 31, 1997:
09:00-10:15 SESSION 2.1: APPLICATIONS TO EMPLOYMENT, WAGES AND LABOR FORCE DATA
Chair: Cathryn S. Dippo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA
STABILITY OF COMPOSITE ESTIMATORS: EXPERIMENTS WITH HUNGARIAN LABOR FORCE SURVEY DATA
O. Elteto, L. Mihalyffy, Hungarian Central Statistical Office, Budapest, Hungary
LONGITUDINAL ANALYSIS OF THE SWISS LABOR FORCE SURVEY DATA
P.-A Salamin, Swiss Federal Statistical Office, Centre for Co-Ordination and Planification, Switzerland
THE ISRAELI IMMIGRANT EMPLOYMENT SURVEY 1990-1996
A.M. Paltiel, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
10:15-10:45 COFFEE BREAK
10:45-12:30 SESSION 2.2: APPLICATIONS TO BUSINESS DATA, INCOME AND CONSUMER PURCHASING
Chair: Luisa Burck, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
THE CAUSES OF MOVING OUT OF POVERTY
E. Schulte Nordholdt, Statistics Netherlands
MEASURING FIRM-SPECIFIC EFFICIENCY AND PRODUCTIVITY CHANGE
B.M. Balk, G. van Leeuwen, H.R. Nieuwenhuijsen, Department of Statistical Methods, Statistics Netherlands
VALUE DIMENSIONS - HOW DO THEY CHANGE OVER TIME
H. Bay, Gallup Denmark, Copenhagen, Denmark
LONGITUDINAL PANELS OF FIRMS AND THEIR USE IN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS: ISRAEL'S EXPERIENCE
H. Regev, Central Bureau of Statistics, Jerusalem, Israel
12:30-13:30 LUNCH
13:30-14:45 SESSION 2.3: SOCIAL STATISTICS APPLICATIONS
Chair: Eliyahu Ben-Moshe, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
A NEW LONGITUDINAL SURVEY ON WELFARE
Arne S. Andersen, Statistics Norway
ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS OF DRUG USE IN ISRAEL
M. Beenstock, D. Pfeffermann, G. Rahav, Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Tel-Aviv University, Israel
USING DATA RECEIVED FROM DIFFERENT SURVEYS TO EVALUATE SOCIAL PROCESSES IN ESTONIA FOR THE LAST 30 YEARS
E-M. Tii, Inst. of Math Statistics, University of Tartu, Estonia
14:45-15:15 COFFEE BREAK
15:15-16:45 SESSION 2.4: LINKAGE OF ADMINISTRATIVE DATA AND OTHER NON-SURVEY APPLICATIONS
SPECIAL SESSION IN MEMORY OF ERIC PERITZ
Chair: Ester Samuel-Cahn, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel
THE ISRAEL LONGITUDINAL MORTALITY STUDY 1983-1992: OBJECTIVES, METHODS AND PRELIMINARY RESULTS
Z. Eisenbach, O. Manor, E. Peritz, Y. Hite, Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Hadassah, Israel
RECORD LINKAGE IN PANEL SURVEYS OF UNIVERSITY STUDENTS IN ISRAEL
S. Kopfstein, H. Zakai, Central Bureau of Statistics, Education and Science Statistics Division, Israel
FOLLOW-UP AND FOLLOW-BACK THROUGH VITAL AND HEALTH ADMINISTRATIVE RECORDS
P. Zadka , R. Rivlis, S. Zaritzky, Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
16:45-18:00 PANEL DISCUSSION - WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?
Moderator: Gad Nathan, Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel
Panelists: Ray Chambers, University of Southampton, UK
Cathryn S. Dippo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, USA
Michael A. Hidiroglou, Statistics Canada
Ugo Trivellato, Universita di Padova, Italy
Frank Yu, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia
CONFERENCE CHAIRMAN:
Prof. Gad Nathan
Chief Scientist
Central Bureau of Statistics
Jerusalem 91130, Israel
Tel: 972-2-655-3371/588-3304
Fax: 972-2-652-2319/532-2545
E-mail: gad@mscc.huji.ac.il